Labour Leader Betting: Next Labour Leader Odds

After Labour’s barnstorming 2024 election win, Keir Starmer is feeling the pressure that comes with the Prime Minister's office in the United Kingdom.

Questions from inside and outside of his party have been raised about his premiership, and many think a leadership change could be on the horizon.

With that in mind, we consider the most likely candidates to replace Keir Starmer in the next Labour leadership vote, should the party instigate a leadership change. We also explain how you can bet on political markets at Parimatch.

Wes Streeting

Wes Streeting, MP for Ilford North, is the Secretary of State for Health and Social Care, a position he has held since Labour’s return to government in the summer of 2024. 

He has been an outspoken critic of the current state of the NHS and has campaigned to reduce waiting times and implement various other improvements in his role. 

Only time will tell if he’s up to the task and whether he emerges as a serious candidate to replace Keir Starmer as the next Labour leader.

Angela Rayner 

Angela Rayner was tipped by many as Labour’s next Prime Minister before she resigned from her role as Deputy Prime Minister in September 2025. She stepped back due to a controversy relating to house tax payments, but has since recovered to become a voice within the party once again.

One of Labour's most recognisable faces, Rayner would be an interesting choice as the party's next leader, given her outspoken nature and her stance on many key issues of the day.

Shabana Mahmood

Current Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood is another name being mentioned as Labour’s next potential leader. She identifies as a social conservative and belongs to the so-called ‘Blue Labour’ faction of the party.

She’s been a strong voice in Labour’s hardening stance on illegal immigration, and should the Prime Minister be replaced from within, Mahmood could be the ideal candidate to bring many of Labour’s disgruntled supporters back on board.

Andy Burnham

Experienced campaigner Andy Burnham has served as the Mayor of Greater Manchester since 2017, and he played a crucial role in Gordon Brown’s Labour Cabinet the last time the party was in government. 

If Labour were to look for an experienced head to lead the party after Keir Starmer, Andy Burnham would be the obvious choice, though he would need to return to the House of Commons to take up the position.

Ed Miliband

Ed Miliband was the leader of the Labour Party between 2010 and 2015, and some think that he could be in for a sensational return to the position if Starmer’s position comes under serious threat.

Milliband currently holds the office of Secretary of State for Energy Security and Net Zero and is the Member of Parliament for Doncaster North.

Though he wasn’t the most inspired Labour leader of all time during his five-year stint, he’s regarded as a trusted and considered voice within the party and could steady the ship if called upon.

Lucy Powell

Lucy Powell has been the deputy leader of the Labour Party since October 2025, succeeding Angela Rayner and defeating Bridget Phillipson in the race for the position. She’s the current MP for Manchester Central and has been described as ‘soft left’ by her peers and media outlets.

Her elevation to the deputy leader role suggests that many within the party have faith in her credentials and see her as a potential long-term replacement for Keir Starmer.

Bridget Phillipson

Secretary of State for Education Bridget Phillipson is another strong female leader who Labour might turn to if a change at the top is instigated.

A native of Gateshead in the north east, Phillipson has participated in numerous constituency campaigns and charitable efforts aimed at bridging the north-south divide.

She has also spoken extensively about the need for childcare reform in the UK and hopes that her role as Secretary of State for Education will bring about much-needed change.

Yvette Cooper

Yvette Cooper, MP for Pontefract, Castleford, and Knottingley, is another experienced head who served in the last Labour Cabinet. 

She was appointed Secretary of State for the Home Department in 2024, following her previous role as Secretary of State for Work and Pensions between 2009 and 2010. 

Following a cabinet reshuffle, Cooper is now the Secretary of State for Foreign, Commonwealth, and Development Affairs.

Like Andy Burnham, Yvette Cooper would be a good choice if the party decide to go for experience when appointing its next leader.

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You can explore the latest odds in the race to become Labour’s next permanent leader at the top of this page. Please be mindful that the odds are subject to change, based on various political events and incidents.

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You can also bet on the next permanent leader of each major party, including the Conservatives, Reform, and Liberal Democrats.

You can also bet on the person who you think will be the next Prime Minister after Keir Starmer departs, be it Wes Streeting or Nigel Farage, for instance.

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