2025/26 Premier League Top Scorer Odds & Betting Markets

Get the latest Premier League top scorer odds at Parimatch. Will Mo Salah once again finish the season as the league’s top marksman?

Premier League Top Scorer Odds

Premier League Top Goalscorer 2025/26

24 May at 13:01

Premier League Top Goalscorer 2025/26

The usual suspects will be firing in the goals in the 2025/26 Premier League season, with Mo Salah, Erling Haaland, and Alexander Isak all keen to land the Golden Boot.

Following their big summer moves to Chelsea, Brazilian striker João Pedro and young hitman Liam Delap may also be in the conversation.

Get the latest English Premier League top scorer odds at Parimatch Sportsbook.

Mohamed Salah ended the season as the Premier League’s top scorer, netting 29 goals in 38 games as Liverpool romped to the title. It moved Salah to fifth in the all-time Premier League scorers list, surpassing Jermain Defoe, Robbie Fowler, Thierry Henry, Frank Lampard and Sergio Agüero in the same season.

Next in the chart was Newcastle United’s Alexander Isak, who bagged 23 goals for the Toon Army. Isak would likely have scored more, but he was injured for a month.

The same was true of Erling Haaland, who scored 22 goals for Manchester City. The Norwegian international missed six games due to injury in the 2024/25 season, and would almost certainly have been top of the tree had he played as many games as Mo Salah.

For the second season running, Aston Villa’s Ollie Watkins ended the 2024/25 campaign as the Premier League’s top English scorer, this time netting 16 times.

Here’s a list of the top ten scorers at the end of the 2024/25 season in the English Premier League:

Player	Team	Games	Goals
Mohamed Salah	Liverpool	38	29
Alexander Isak	Newcastle United	34	23
Erling Haaland	Manchester City	32	22
Bryan Mbeumo	Brentford	38	20
Chris Wood	Nottingham Forest	36	20
Yoane Wissa	Brentford	35	19
Ollie Watkins	Aston Villa	38	16
Cole Palmer	Chelsea	37	15
Matheus Cunha	Wolverhampton Wanderers	33	15
Jean-Phillipe Mateta	Crystal Palace	37	14

Alexander Isak and Erling Haaland are the likeliest players to challenge Mohamed Salah for the 2025/26 season Golden Boot. Haaland has previous, and if he can stay injury-free, he will be shooting for 30+ goals this season.

Isak is Newcastle United’s main man, and following a trophy-winning 2024/25 campaign, he will look to fire the Magpies to even more silverware this term, alongside Champions League qualification via a top-four finish in the Premier League.

A good outside bet is Chris Wood, who has been consistently excellent for Nottingham Forest since joining from Newcastle. Also, since his move to Old Trafford, Matheus Cunha could improve on his 15 goals last term, while Cole Palmer and João Pedro at Chelsea could also challenge for the 2025/26 Golden Boot.

Penalties are crucial when considering who to back as the Premier League top scorer. This was perfectly illustrated by Mo Salah scoring nine penalties in Liverpool’s title-winning campaign, meaning 31% of the Egyptian’s PL goals were scored from the spot.

Second on the list was Justin Kluivert, who scored 50% of his goals from the spot, converting six Premier League penalties on his way to 12 league goals for the season.

Bryan Mbeumo’s five penalties meant that 25% of his 20 PL goals came from the spot, while Alexander Isak managed four Premier League goals from penalties in the 2024/25 campaign.

We advise you to consider each club’s assigned penalty taker before settling on your top scorer bet, as it can make a huge difference to who ends the season on top.

Thierry Henry and Mohamed Salah are the leading Golden Boot winners in Premier League history, with four apiece. If Salah wins again in 2025/26, he will be out on his own, as Thierry Henry has long retired from the game.

In second place is ex-Tottenham captain Harry Kane, who swapped London for Bavaria and is now firing in the goals in the Bundesliga for Bayern Munich.

Here are some expert tips to consider before betting on the Premier League’s top scorer in the 2025/26 season:

Check xG: Expected goals is a fundamental stat when considering which player will end the season as top scorer. Last season, Mo Salah had a combined xG and xA (expected assists) of 34.86 in the Premier League, the only player to surpass the 30-mark. Check which players rank high on the xG list and back them to end the season with the Golden Boot.
Back a penalty taker: As illustrated above, penalty takers do well in the top scorer market, so make sure your chosen player is his club’s penalty taker.
Successive winners are rare: Though Mo Salah undoubtedly can win the 2025/26 Golden Boot, few players successfully defend the personal milestone. This century, only Thierry Henry (04 & 05), Robin van Persie (12 & 13), Harry Kane (16 & 17), and Erling Haaland (23 & 24) have managed the feat. Alan Shearer is the only man to have won the Golden Boot three times in a row (95, 96, & 97).

A vital stat that all Premier League fans should look at is appearances. It’s simple: if the player isn’t getting enough minutes, he won’t get enough goals to win the Golden Boot. 

Arguably, the most important stat is xG. Expected goals is a crucial statistic in predicting the Golden Boot winner because it provides a comprehensive measure of a player's goal-scoring opportunities and their quality. 

We can assess a player's finishing ability by comparing their actual goals to their xG. Players who consistently score more than their xG are often excellent finishers, a key trait for a Golden Boot contender.

Over the past few years, the trend was to make the most of your wingers and sacrifice the striker by dropping them deep. Jürgen Klopp’s Liverpool were fantastic at this. Roberto Firmino would play as a false nine, allowing the two Liverpool wingers to get all the goals. It’s fair to say Mohamed Salah thrived in this style of play. 

However, more recently, the classic number nine has been reincarnated into the modern game. Players like Haaland and Watkins are prime examples of this. 

Neither man drops deep to receive the ball but is always on the back foot of the deepest defender, ready to run in behind.

Another notable trend to look out for this season is penalty takers. Five of the last six Golden Boot winners took penalties for their team. It’s almost guaranteed that this season’s Golden Boot winner will take the spot kicks.

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